The year 2024 was a rollercoaster ride for the Indian stock market, with the Nifty delivering an 8.7% return, marking its ninth consecutive year of gains. Despite falling short of the average investor expectation of 12%, the market showed resilience amidst global uncertainties and elevated U.S. Treasury yields.
2024 saw significant gains in the Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 indices, surging over 20% each. Most sectoral indices also hit new highs during the year, with the NSE Construction and Pharma indices posting impressive returns of 94% and 68% respectively.
Looking ahead to 2025, experts remain optimistic about the Indian growth story, pointing to positive developments in infrastructure development, manufacturing, and digital transformation. Sectors such as Healthcare, Auto, Telecom, Realty, Metals, and Power are expected to lead market performance in the coming year.
While the fixed-income market emerged as a bright spot in 2024, with the Indian debt market reaching $2.69 trillion by September, the equity market is expected to see continued growth in 2025. Stock pickers are advised to focus on niche opportunities rather than broad market performance, with sectors like Quick Commerce, Infrastructure, Housing, Defence, and Pharma identified as top picks for the year.
Technical analysts suggest that the market remains in a broader range, with the Nifty finding support at 23,500 and resistance at 24,000 levels. The India VIX, a volatility gauge, rose by 3.40% to 14.4475, indicating increased market uncertainty.
Overall, 2024 was a year of challenges and opportunities for the Indian stock market, with investors navigating through volatile market conditions. As we head into 2025, the market is poised for growth, driven by sector-specific momentum and earnings recovery. It remains to be seen how the year unfolds and whether the market can sustain its upward trajectory.