Crude oil futures are currently trading lower as the market anticipates a comfortable supply in 2025. According to experts at ING Think, the recent increase in crude oil prices is losing momentum, and they expect prices to trend lower throughout the year. This is due to the expectation of a comfortable supply situation in the market through 2025.
Saudi Arabia has raised the crude oil price for Asian buyers for February loadings, indicating some tightening in the physical market. However, overall fundamentals suggest that there will be enough supply in the market, which will limit any significant upside in prices.
A Bloomberg survey reported a decline in crude oil production in December, with countries like the UAE, Kuwait, and Iran seeing reductions in output. Despite these declines, Iraqi oil production remains above its target level.
In addition to crude oil, other commodities like natural gas, guargum, and cottonseed oilcake are also experiencing trading activity on commodity exchanges. Natural gas futures are up, while guargum and cottonseed oilcake futures are showing mixed movements.
Overall, the outlook for the crude oil market in 2025 is one of comfortable supply, which is likely to keep prices in check. It will be interesting to see how global events and production dynamics shape the market in the coming months.