Indian brokerage firms are experiencing a significant downturn as stock markets undergo a major correction, resulting in a steep drop in trading volumes. This slowdown, the first of its kind in over a decade, is expected to impact revenues, according to experts in the industry.
Nithin Kamath, CEO of Zerodha, pointed out a more than 30% decline in trading activity across various brokerage platforms. He mentioned that this downturn in business is unprecedented since the company’s inception 15 years ago.
The Nifty 50 index has been on a downward trend, marking its longest losing streak since its inception. It has fallen over 15% from its peak in September, making it challenging for investors to maintain a bullish sentiment.
In addition to market volatility, regulatory changes by SEBI have also contributed to the decrease in trading activity. Measures such as increasing contract sizes and limiting expiries in the derivatives segment have reduced retail participation. This has led to a more cautious approach among investors and a decline in trading volumes.
Tejas Khoday, CEO of FYERS, noted that there has been a slowdown in the opening of new accounts, particularly from tier 2 and tier 3 cities. The recent market correction has caused investors to reassess their positions and led to a continuous decline in stock prices.
Despite these challenges, industry experts believe that the worst may be over. Amit Lalan, director at Upstox, mentioned that as market participants adapt to the new regulations, trading activity could improve. Once market sentiments improve and the trend reverses, trading volumes are expected to pick up.
Overall, the decline in trading volumes highlights the limited depth of the market, with most activity concentrated among a small number of traders. This could have broader implications, including a potential shortfall in the government’s securities transaction tax (STT) collections. If the current trend continues, STT revenues for the fiscal year could fall significantly below previous estimates.
In conclusion, while the current market conditions are challenging for brokerage firms, there is optimism that with time and adaptation to regulatory changes, trading activity could see a resurgence in the future.