The Indian equity market is expected to open flat at the beginning of the week, with analysts predicting lacklustre trading due to year-end holidays. The Nifty January futures closed at 23,793, indicating a quiet start for the Nifty. However, stock-specific movements are anticipated due to the shortened trading week and monthly F&O settlement.
Analysts are cautious about the market’s outlook, citing both fundamental and technical weakness. The focus has shifted to the US, where concerns about a government shutdown and debt ceiling issues are looming. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance and uncertainty surrounding the debt ceiling have contributed to risk aversion and a flight to safety, dampening market sentiment.
Foreign portfolio investors have shifted from buying to selling, impacting market performance. Rising dollar strength, higher US bond yields, and concerns about slowing growth in India have led to FII selling in the market.
In the derivatives segment, a bearish sentiment prevails, with call writing dominating the session. Key levels to watch are the 24,000-strike call resistance and the 23,000-strike put support. The put-call ratio indicates a bearish undertone, with limited downside risks in the short term.
Despite the cautious outlook for the Indian market, most Asian stocks opened positively on Monday. The global market scenario remains fluid, with investors keeping a close watch on developments in the US and other key regions.
In conclusion, while the Indian equity market may see subdued trading in the coming week, investors should remain vigilant and stay informed about global events that could impact market dynamics. It is essential to exercise caution and adopt a diversified investment strategy in the current market environment.